ACN · NYQ · Technology
Accenture plc
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Implied value per share
USD 253.73
Market price
USD 260.94
Implied upside
-2.8%
10-year forecast · Perpetuity growth terminal value · Mid-year discounting · Base case · Price 2026-11-02 · Accounts to 2026-08-31
Value Per Share
Same forecast, different terminal treatment. Percentages vs price.
Forecast Cashflows
Reporting currency (USD). Outflows negative.
| Line | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 | FY32 | FY33 | FY34 | FY35 | FY36 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | USD 77.4bn | USD 81.4bn | USD 85.2bn | USD 89.0bn | USD 92.7bn | USD 96.2bn | USD 99.5bn | USD 102.6bn | USD 105.5bn | USD 108.2bn | +3.8% |
| EBIT | USD 11.3bn | USD 11.9bn | USD 12.5bn | USD 13.0bn | USD 13.6bn | USD 14.1bn | USD 14.6bn | USD 15.0bn | USD 15.5bn | USD 15.8bn | +3.8% |
| NOPAT | USD 9.0bn | USD 9.4bn | USD 9.9bn | USD 10.3bn | USD 10.7bn | USD 11.1bn | USD 11.5bn | USD 11.9bn | USD 12.2bn | USD 12.5bn | +3.8% |
| Add depreciation & amortisation | USD 1.3bn | USD 1.4bn | USD 1.5bn | USD 1.5bn | USD 1.6bn | USD 1.7bn | USD 1.7bn | USD 1.8bn | USD 1.8bn | USD 1.9bn | +3.8% |
| Less capital expenditure | USD -774.3m | USD -917.2m | USD -1.1bn | USD -1.2bn | USD -1.4bn | USD -1.6bn | USD -1.8bn | USD -1.9bn | USD -2.1bn | USD -2.3bn | +13.0% |
| Capex, % of revenue | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | - |
| Less increase in working capital | USD -470.0m | USD -569.2m | USD -560.2m | USD -547.1m | USD -529.8m | USD -508.3m | USD -482.7m | USD -453.0m | USD -419.4m | USD -382.0m | -2.3% |
| Free cashflow to firm | USD 9.1bn | USD 9.3bn | USD 9.7bn | USD 10.1bn | USD 10.4bn | USD 10.7bn | USD 11.0bn | USD 11.3bn | USD 11.5bn | USD 11.7bn | +2.9% |
| Discount factor | 0.9589 | 0.8817 | 0.8108 | 0.7455 | 0.6855 | 0.6304 | 0.5796 | 0.5330 | 0.4901 | 0.4507 | - |
| Present value | USD 8.7bn | USD 8.2bn | USD 7.9bn | USD 7.5bn | USD 7.1bn | USD 6.8bn | USD 6.4bn | USD 6.0bn | USD 5.6bn | USD 5.3bn | - |
| Present Value Of The Forecast | USD 69.5bn | ||||||||||
Discount Rate
Source shown per component. All overridable above.
| Risk-free rate | 4.89% | US 10-year Treasury (^TNX), 2026-11-02 |
| Equity risk premium | 4.23% | Damodaran, January 2026 |
| Beta | 1.003 | Reported 1.004, pulled toward 1.0 (Blume) |
| Cost of equity | 9.14% | Risk-free + beta x equity risk premium |
| Cost of debt | 5.29% | Risk-free + 40bp, the spread for a AAA rating at 37.6x interest cover. Book interest / average debt was lower, at 2.8%. |
| Market capitalisation | USD 159.7bn | 92.3% of capital |
| Total debt | USD 13.4bn | 7.7% of capital, book value as a proxy |
| Tax rate | 21.0% | Effective, capped at statutory |
| WACC | 8.75% | E/V x Re + D/V x Rd x (1 - t) |
Terminal Value
Perpetuity growth is intrinsic. The exit multiple defaults to the company's current EV/EBITDA, so it answers a different question - what the shares are worth if today's rating holds and EBITDA grows as forecast.
Perpetuity growth at 2.50%
56% of EV
- Forecast FCFF, final year
- USD 11.7bn
- Capex at depreciation, working capital in reinvestment
- USD 13.3bn
- Less reinvestment at g/ROIC (10.4% of NOPAT)
- USD -1.4bn
- Capitalised
- USD 11.9bn
- ROIC (reported)
- 24.0%
- Terminal value, undiscounted
- USD 194.7bn
- Terminal value, discounted
- USD 87.8bn
- Enterprise value
- USD 157.2bn
- Less net debt
- USD 559.2m
- Equity value
- USD 156.7bn
Exit at 12.7x EBITDA
59% of EV
- Terminal value, undiscounted
- USD 224.6bn
- Terminal value, discounted
- USD 101.2bn
- Enterprise value
- USD 170.7bn
- Less net debt
- USD 559.2m
- Equity value
- USD 170.1bn
Spread between methods: 8%.
Sensitivity
Value per share (USD) by discount rate and long-run growth.
| Long-run growth | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount rate | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
| 6.75% | 333.46 | 350.13 | 370.97 | 397.66 | 432.89 |
| 7.75% | 279.74 | 289.44 | 301.18 | 315.61 | 333.67 |
| 8.75% | 240.91 | 246.77 | 253.73 | 262.07 | 272.18 |
| 9.75% | 211.54 | 215.14 | 219.37 | 224.37 | 230.30 |
| 10.75% | 188.56 | 190.77 | 193.35 | 196.37 | 199.94 |
Outlined: this model. Green text: above today's price of 260.94. Shading: distance from this model's own value.
Priced In
What each input would have to be to justify the current price, one at a time.
| Input | Actual | Model | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth, a year | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | |
| EBIT margin | 15.4% | 14.6% | 15.1% | |
| Discount rate | - | 8.8% | 8.6% |
Live formulas, not pasted numbers - edit a driver and the workbook reprices.
Yahoo Finance and RBA data. General information, not advice. Methodology.