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    Q · NYQ · Technology

    Qnity Electronics, Inc.

    Also onConsensus Drift

    Implied value per share

    USD 88.08

    Market price

    USD 115.37

    Implied upside

    -23.7%

    10-year forecast · Perpetuity growth terminal value · Mid-year discounting · Base case · Price 2026-11-02 · Accounts to 2025-12-31

    Value Per Share

    Perpetuity growth
    USD 88.08-23.7%
    Exit multiple
    USD 160.61+39.2%
    Market price
    USD 115.37

    Same forecast, different terminal treatment. Percentages vs price.

    Forecast Cashflows

    Reporting currency (USD). Outflows negative.

    0bn1bn2bnFY26FY27FY28FY29FY30FY31FY32FY33FY34FY35
    Nominal FCFFDiscounted to todayUSD
    LineFY26FY27FY28FY29FY30FY31FY32FY33FY34FY35CAGR
    RevenueUSD 5.6bnUSD 6.3bnUSD 7.0bnUSD 7.7bnUSD 8.4bnUSD 9.0bnUSD 9.5bnUSD 10.0bnUSD 10.4bnUSD 10.6bn+7.3%
    EBITUSD 1.1bnUSD 1.2bnUSD 1.4bnUSD 1.5bnUSD 1.6bnUSD 1.8bnUSD 1.9bnUSD 2.0bnUSD 2.0bnUSD 2.1bn+7.3%
    NOPATUSD 914.9mUSD 1.0bnUSD 1.1bnUSD 1.2bnUSD 1.4bnUSD 1.5bnUSD 1.5bnUSD 1.6bnUSD 1.7bnUSD 1.7bn+7.3%
    Add depreciation & amortisationUSD 503.2mUSD 564.3mUSD 626.1mUSD 687.0mUSD 745.6mUSD 800.1mUSD 849.1mUSD 890.8mUSD 923.8mUSD 946.9m+7.3%
    Less capital expenditureUSD -290.2mUSD -356.5mUSD -429.9mUSD -509.6mUSD -594.1mUSD -681.6mUSD -770.0mUSD -856.9mUSD -939.5mUSD -1.0bn+14.9%
    Capex, % of revenue5.1%5.6%6.1%6.6%7.1%7.6%8.1%8.6%9.1%9.6%-
    Less increase in working capitalUSD -132.6mUSD -102.5mUSD -103.6mUSD -102.2mUSD -98.3mUSD -91.6mUSD -82.1mUSD -70.0mUSD -55.4mUSD -38.7m-12.8%
    Free cashflow to firmUSD 995.3mUSD 1.1bnUSD 1.2bnUSD 1.3bnUSD 1.4bnUSD 1.5bnUSD 1.5bnUSD 1.6bnUSD 1.6bnUSD 1.6bn+5.5%
    Discount factor0.96030.88550.81660.75300.69440.64030.59050.54450.50210.4630-
    Present valueUSD 955.8mUSD 1.0bnUSD 1.0bnUSD 997.1mUSD 978.2mUSD 948.7mUSD 909.7mUSD 862.2mUSD 807.6mUSD 747.6m-
    Present Value Of The ForecastUSD 9.2bn

    Discount Rate

    Source shown per component. All overridable above.

    Risk-free rate4.89%US 10-year Treasury (^TNX), 2026-11-02
    Equity risk premium4.23%Damodaran, January 2026
    Beta1.000As reported
    Cost of equity9.12%Risk-free + beta x equity risk premium
    Cost of debt5.29%Risk-free + 40bp, the spread for a AAA rating at 15.6x interest cover. Book interest / average debt was lower, at 3.2%.
    Market capitalisationUSD 24.1bn85.7% of capital
    Total debtUSD 4.0bn14.3% of capital, book value as a proxy
    Tax rate17.8%Effective, capped at statutory
    WACC8.44%E/V x Re + D/V x Rd x (1 - t)

    Terminal Value

    Perpetuity growth is intrinsic. The exit multiple defaults to the company's current EV/EBITDA, so it answers a different question - what the shares are worth if today's rating holds and EBITDA grows as forecast.

    Perpetuity growth at 2.50%

    Value per shareUSD 88.08

    57% of EV

    Forecast FCFF, final year
    USD 1.6bn
    Capex at depreciation, working capital in reinvestment
    USD 2.2bn
    Less reinvestment at g/ROIC (29.6% of NOPAT)
    USD -652.0m
    Capitalised
    USD 1.5bn
    ROIC (WACC floor)
    8.4%
    Terminal value, undiscounted
    USD 26.7bn
    Terminal value, discounted
    USD 12.4bn
    Enterprise value
    USD 21.6bn
    Less net debt
    USD 3.1bn
    Equity value
    USD 18.5bn

    Exit at 19.6x EBITDA

    Value per shareUSD 160.61

    75% of EV

    Terminal value, undiscounted
    USD 59.6bn
    Terminal value, discounted
    USD 27.6bn
    Enterprise value
    USD 36.8bn
    Less net debt
    USD 3.1bn
    Equity value
    USD 33.7bn

    Spread between methods: 58%.

    Sensitivity

    Value per share (USD) by discount rate and long-run growth.

    Long-run growth
    Discount rate1.50%2.00%2.50%3.00%3.50%
    6.44%127.06125.41123.80122.28120.88
    7.44%106.15104.59103.03101.4799.91
    8.44%90.6889.3888.0886.7885.48
    9.44%78.5577.4576.3575.2574.15
    10.44%68.7967.8566.9165.9765.03

    Outlined: this model. Green text: above today's price of 115.37. Shading: distance from this model's own value.

    Priced In

    What each input would have to be to justify the current price, one at a time.

    InputActualModelImplied
    Revenue growth, a year-0.0%8.4%11.4%
    EBIT margin21.7%19.7%26.2%
    Discount rate-8.4%6.8%
    Download as Excel

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    Yahoo Finance and RBA data. General information, not advice. Methodology.