RJF · NYQ · Financial Services
Raymond James Financial, Inc.
Also onShortfallConsensus DriftCrosscheck
Implied value per share
USD 197.00
Market price
USD 162.30
Implied upside
+21.4%
10-year forecast · Excess returns over book equity · Base case · Price 2026-11-02 · Accounts to 2025-09-30
NoteA financial, valued on excess returns over book equity.
Excess Returns
- Return on equity
- 18.5%
- Payout
- 20%
- Cost of equity
- 8.97%
| Line | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 | FY32 | FY33 | FY34 | FY35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opening book equity | USD 12.4bn | USD 14.1bn | USD 15.9bn | USD 17.6bn | USD 19.4bn | USD 21.1bn | USD 22.7bn | USD 24.1bn | USD 25.3bn | USD 26.2bn |
| Return on equity | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| Excess return | USD 1.2bn | USD 1.3bn | USD 1.5bn | USD 1.7bn | USD 1.8bn | USD 2.0bn | USD 2.2bn | USD 2.3bn | USD 2.4bn | USD 2.5bn |
| Present value | USD 1.1bn | USD 1.1bn | USD 1.2bn | USD 1.2bn | USD 1.2bn | USD 1.2bn | USD 1.2bn | USD 1.2bn | USD 1.1bn | USD 1.1bn |
| Book equity | USD 12.4bn |
| Present value of excess returns | USD 11.5bn |
| Terminal, growing at 2.50% | USD 16.8bn |
| Equity value | USD 40.7bn |
| Per share | USD 197.00 |
Discount Rate
| Risk-free rate | 4.89% | US 10-year Treasury (^TNX), 2026-11-02 |
| Equity risk premium | 4.23% | Damodaran, January 2026 |
| Beta | 0.963 | Reported 0.945, pulled toward 1.0 (Blume) |
| Cost of equity | 8.97% | Risk-free + beta x equity risk premium |
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Yahoo Finance and RBA data. General information, not advice. Methodology.